We’re tracking all major polls in the U.S. Senate race to give Texans a fuller picture of where this race is headed. Paxton has been consistently trailing in the polls, but the margins are tight.
Ted Cruz
Feds reimburse Texas for $7.5 billion in border spending, ending delay
The grant program was created by the One Big Beautiful Bill Act, which became law in July 2025.
John Cornyn says he won’t vote for Bo French as backlash to racist post rises
The outgoing U.S. senator called the Texas Railroad Commission candidate “an embarrassment to the Republican Party.”
“Uncharted territory”: Two months from Election Day, Democrats in Texas are truly competitive
Democrat James Talarico is consistently leading in the polls over Ken Paxton, which is unheard of in recent decades. National forecasters are calling Texas a tie, or else giving the advantage to the Democrat.
At Dallas convention, Texas Republicans claim credit for tax cuts, blame Democrats for high prices
With high costs top of mind, GOP candidates in competitive races tested a tightrope act: Trump’s policies are helping, but Biden is still the culprit for your gas and grocery bills.
At midterm convention, Trump vows to campaign hard for Paxton after mocking his speech and looks
The president used his winding, nearly two-hour keynote address to try to boost Republicans around the country, telling his supporters to “pretend that I’m on the ballot” this fall.
Federal disaster assistance approved for some Texas counties after July floods
The announced funding will help 19 counties pay for infrastructure repairs, but Texas is still waiting for help for individuals in the affected counties.
James Talarico to air first TV ad attacking Ken Paxton in Senate race
The Democrat’s negative spot that alleges corruption by his GOP rival debuts Saturday during a TCU vs. North Carolina football game.
FEMA still hasn’t approved most disaster aid for Texans hit by this year’s July floods
The six-week wait for approval fits a pattern: On average, the Trump White House is taking longer than previous administrations to approve major disaster assistance, research shows.
Ted Cruz says on podcast it’s “no secret that I want to be president”
Lt. Gov. Dan Patrick also speculated during their conversation that Gov. Greg Abbott also aspires for the White House.

