Will Texas flip in 2020?

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Polls, late campaign activity suggest Republican dominance in Texas could be at risk

By Alex Samuels and Patrick Svitek Updated: Oct. 27, 2020

With a week to go until Election Day, the race for Texas' Electoral College votes appears closer than it has been in decades. Full Story 

Latest coverage

• Texas Republicans highlight energy issues as a closing argument of campaign

  By Mitchell Ferman Oct. 28, 2020

  Texas' oil and gas industry has had a horrible year. As the recession persists and Election Day nears, Republicans have latched on to Donald Trump and Joe Biden's debate exchange about the energy sector and the environment. Full Story 

• Michael Bloomberg to spend $15 million on TV ads for Biden in Texas and Ohio after seeing tight polling

  By Alex Samuels Oct. 27, 2020

  The move comes as some polls show the Biden-Harris ticket within striking distance — and, in some surveys, ahead — in the traditionally Republican state. Full Story 

• Michael Bloomberg gives $2.6 million to Texas Democrat running for railroad commissioner

  By Patrick Svitek Oct. 26, 2020

  The New York billionaire donated to Chrysta Castañeda in her bid to flip a seat on the all-GOP commission that regulates Texas' oil and gas industry. Full Story 

• In high-stakes Texas election, Republicans hope willingness to resume door-knocking gives them edge

  By Patrick Svitek Oct. 26, 2020

  Republicans say they have built a major advantage by resuming door-knocking more quickly and aggressively amid the coronavirus pandemic, while Democrats say they are being the more responsible party while reaching voters in other ways. Full Story 

• In Democrats' bid to flip Texas, maximizing the Latino vote is key

  By Kelsey Carolan Oct. 26, 2020

  Joe Biden is not faring as well among Latino voters in the polls as Hillary Clinton did in 2016. But Democrats in Texas are working to shore up Latino support. Full Story 

• Analysis: Democrats or Republicans could win the Texas House this year. But what if they tie?

  By Ross Ramsey Oct. 26, 2020

  The next speaker of the Texas House will come from the majority party, whether that’s the Republicans or the Democrats after the election. But there’s an outside chance the parties will have the same number of members. Full Story 

• Kamala Harris to make campaign stop in Texas

  By Alex Samuels Updated: Oct. 25, 2020

  Harris will be the highest-profile representative from the Biden campaign to visit Texas in person during the general election. Full Story 

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• Should you trust political polls going into the 2020 election? That's the wrong question.

  By Alana Rocha, Todd Wiseman and Justin Dehn Oct. 23, 2020

  Watch The Texas Tribune's co-founder and executive editor, Ross Ramsey, break down what voters need to ask when considering a poll's results. Full Story 

• MJ Hegar raised nearly three times as much as John Cornyn in the first two weeks of October

  By Patrick Svitek Oct. 22, 2020

  Hegar also expanded her cash-on-hand advantage in the U.S. Senate race in Texas. Full Story 

• Why Asian American voters in Texas may hold outsized importance in key races this year

  By Alex Samuels Updated: Oct. 22, 2020

  Asian Americans are the fastest growing racial or ethnic voting group in the country, according to the Pew Research Center. And in Texas, there are sizable Asian American communities in key districts. Full Story 

• National Democrats are increasingly assertive about their chances in Texas this election — and they’re spending accordingly

  By Abby Livingston and Patrick Svitek Oct. 21, 2020

  In a move of confidence that Democratic incumbent U.S. Rep. Lizzie Pannill Fletcher will be reelected, a national PAC is redirecting ad spending from that district to a nearby open seat currently held by a Republican. Full Story 

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• John Cornyn confronts late spending spree by MJ Hegar, Democratic allies in reelection campaign

  By Patrick Svitek Oct. 21, 2020

  Cornyn’s once-massive cash-on-hand advantage is gone, and outside Democratic groups smell blood with less than two weeks left in his re-election campaign. Full Story 

• In Texas House fight, Democrats bet big on health care, while Republicans emphasize police support

  By Patrick Svitek and Cassandra Pollock Oct. 21, 2020

  Candidates from both parties are bringing up everything from school funding to lemonade stands in the final weeks of a heated contest for control of the state’s lower chamber. Full Story 

• National Democratic super PAC says it will double its spending to $12 million in battle for the Texas House

  By Patrick Svitek Updated: Oct. 20, 2020

  The group, Forward Majority, says it's increasing its expenditures in response to major spending from Republican-affiliated groups. Full Story 

• Two key Texas counties — Democratic stronghold Harris and traditionally red Denton — are setting early voting records

  By Mandi Cai, Juan Pablo Garnham and Alex Samuels Oct. 17, 2020

  As of Friday, 27% of registered voters in Denton County had cast their ballots in the 2020 election — surpassing the county’s 2016 turnout of 18% on the fourth day. Full Story 

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• MJ Hegar nearly doubles John Cornyn's third-quarter fundraising in U.S. Senate race, erasing his cash-on-hand advantage

  By Patrick Svitek Updated: Oct. 15, 2020

  The Democratic challenger raised $14 million to $7.2 million for the Republican incumbent, and she has $8.5 million cash on hand to his $8 million. Full Story 

• Texas voters have serious concerns about voting and the 2020 election, UT/TT Poll finds

  By Ross Ramsey Oct. 12, 2020

  Only a minority of Texas voters from both parties say they're ready to trust the results of the 2020 election for president, according to the latest University of Texas/Texas Tribune Poll. Full Story 

• Texas voters are as split as the Senate on Supreme Court opening, UT/TT Poll finds

  By Ross Ramsey Oct. 12, 2020

  When it comes to filling a spot on the U.S. Supreme Court, Texas voters are split the same way the U.S. Senate is split — along party lines, according to the latest University of Texas/Texas Tribune Poll. Full Story 

• Texas’ John Cornyn and MJ Hegar argue over coronavirus response, policing and the Supreme Court in U.S. Senate debate

  By Patrick Svitek Updated: Oct. 9, 2020

  Cornyn repeatedly tried to paint Hegar as a puppet of Democratic leaders and too liberal for Texas. She argued he has lost touch with the state after 18 years in the Senate. Full Story 

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• Donald Trump leads Joe Biden by 5 points in Texas, UT/TT Poll finds

  By Ross Ramsey Oct. 9, 2020

  The president leads the former vice president 50%-45% in Texas, according to the latest University of Texas/Texas Tribune Poll. Full Story