For our biennial feature on the most competitive races in Texas congressional and legislative elections, we lifted the color scheme from the inventors of the federal terror watch, ranking races by the threat to each incumbent, to the incumbent party, or just by the level of interest and heat generated.
Yellow means there's trouble on the sidewalk. Orange is trouble on the front porch. Red is trouble walking in the door.
Incumbents' names are in bold. An asterisk indicates an open seat, and those are rated by the apparent competitiveness of top candidates (closer is hotter). This is certainly and intentionally subject to argument, and we'll revise and adjust as the March 4 primary approaches. Let us know what you think.
Changes this week: We moved several open seat races (CD-36, HD-53, HD-58) from red to orange, the better to highlight races with incumbents who face serious challenges, and we moved the SD-16 race into the red zone for the same reason.