Skip to main content

2010: New Poll, Same Story

Rick Perry has 49 percent; Kay Bailey Hutchison has 27 percent and Debra Medina has 19 percent, according to a new survey done for the Texas Credit Union League. On the Democratic side, Bill White got 51 percent to Farouk Shami's 19 percent.

Republican gubernatorial debate coverage

Rick Perry leads Kay Bailey Hutchison and Debra Medina in the race for governor, but still hasn't won 50 percent of the voters, according to a new poll done for the Texas Credit Union League. By their reckoning, Perry has 49 percent; Hutchison has 27 percent and Debra Medina has 19 percent.

On the Democratic side, Bill White got 51 percent to Farouk Shami's 19 percent.

TCUL hired a Republican firm (Public Opinion Strategies) and a Democratic firm (Hamilton Campaigns) to survey primary voters from each party. They put the complete results, with crosstabs, on their website.

Some of their findings:

•    In a hypothetical run-off between Perry and Hutchison, the Governor prevails handily 58% to 34%.
•    62% of Republican primary voters say they are "much more" (36%) or "somewhat more" (26%) likely to support a candidate who considers themselves to be a "tea-party" activist.
•    The poll indicates that incumbents of either party should not take this election for granted if they have an opponent, the lead for incumbents is remarkably low.
•    For state legislators, Democratic primary voters prefer the incumbent to a challenger by a 39% to 29% margin (a 10 point spread), with 32% undecided.  
•    Republican state legislative incumbents, voters prefer the incumbent to a challenger, 44% GOP incumbent to 37% GOP challenger ( a 7 point spread), with 20% undecided.

Their explanation of the poll: Two separate surveys were conducted by nationally known Republican and Democrat research firms between February 3, 4 and 6th, 2010 and reached 400 likely Republican primary voters and 400 likely Democratic primary voters. Each survey has a margin of error of plus or minus 4.9%.

Texas Tribune donors or members may be quoted or mentioned in our stories, or may be the subject of them. For a complete list of contributors, click here.

Quality journalism doesn't come free

Yes, I'll donate today