Gov. Rick Perry’s lead over his Democratic challenger, Bill White, is now 12 points, according to the latest poll commissioned by the five big-city newspapers.
Politics
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The Weekly TribCast: Episode 52
In our final TribCast before Election Day, the gang takes a look back at the closest races this cycle and dares to makes some predictions about what’s going to happen on November 2.
The Polling Center: Finding the Actual Voters
So how to create a likely voter model? Campaign pollsters typically use a combination of past voting history โ available off the registered voter list โ and current interest and engagement. Those who have voted in the past, as well as those who are jazzed about voting this year, tend to get into the likely electorate.
The Polling Center: Are You Experienced?
Is the anti-career-politician, pro-outsider-businessman mood palpable in Texas? Yes. Is this preference for private-sector experience related to vote choice in the governorโs race? No.
Perry By 10 in New UT/TT Poll
Republican Gov. Rick Perry leads his Democratic challenger, Bill White by 10 points โ 50 percent to 40 percent โ in the latest University of Texas/Texas Tribune poll. Libertarian Kathie Glass has the support of 8 percent of respondents; Deb Shafto of the Green Party gets 2 percent. In the last UT/TT poll, conducted in early September, Perry led by 6 points, 39 percent to 33 percent. In a red state in a red year, GOP incumbents in other statewide races are beating their Democratic opponents by between 13 points and 20 points, the new poll found.
2010: Perry by 8 in Rasmussen Poll
Gov. Rick Perry leads Bill White by 8 percentage points, 51 to 43, in a Rasmussen Reports poll released Saturday.
2010: Poll: Perry Ahead of White
Gov. Rick Perry is maintaining an 11-point lead over Democrat Bill White, according to a survey of 1,200 registered and regular voters done for three statewide trade groups.
Washington Weak
The battle in the 2010 governor’s race is about the battleground itself: Rick Perry wants to bind himself to voters in opposition to an intrusive and profligate Washington D.C. โ meddling liberal Yankees, in other words. Bill White wants to motivate voters in opposition to what he portrays as the sorry condition of the state under Perry, the self-serving “career politician.” For White, Washington is Perry’s bogeyman to divert attention from his failures at home. For Perry, Washington is the root of the evils the state confronts โ foremost, issues he says White ignores.
A Wave or a Tsunami?
A surge in Republican enthusiasm nationwide has the GOP hopeful about taking back the U.S. House and, maybe, the U.S. Senate in November. In Texas, that high tide has turned a handful of what are usually considered safe Democratic House seats into live targets. Ben Philpott of KUT and the Tribune reports.
A Likely Story
You can ask all the right questions in a political poll and still get a wrong answer. The results are based not only on how people answer the questions but on a pollster’s educated guess about who’ll vote and who won’t.



