Supporters of Texas Democrat gubernatorial nominee Gina Hinojosa watch Texas election results at her watch party in Austin on Nov. 3, 2026.
Supporters of Texas Democrat gubernatorial nominee Gina Hinojosa watch Texas election results at her watch party in Austin on Nov. 3, 2026. Mateo Rosiles/USA TODAY NETWORK via REUTERS

What’s brewing in Texas right now is almost hard to fathom: In counties across the state, Talarico is leading by margins that, if they hold, would be historic for a Democrat in modern-day Texas. And the rest of Dems’ statewide ticket is running close enough to Talarico that each of their GOP opponents, from Gov. Greg Abbott down to the state courts, appears to be in danger. Republicans will be looking for an epic showing on Election Day to blunt the worst effects of the blue wave, which is looking like a tsunami at the moment.

Jasper Scherer is the politics editor for The Texas Tribune. He oversees a team of reporters in Austin and Washington who lead the newsroom’s coverage of campaigns and elections, watchdog Texas' top...