We have an early vote drop of 293k ballots in Denton County. This is a bellwether — it voted a hair to the left of the state in 2024; Trump won it by 13%. Talarico leads this drop 53.6% to Paxton's 44.8%. Gina Hinojosa is running about 6 points behind Talarico here, leading the drop 51-48.

Gabby Birenbaum is the Washington Correspondent for the Texas Tribune. She covers the Texas congressional delegation and the impact of federal policy on Texas. Gabby previously covered Washington for The...