One thing to keep in mind as you watch the results come in: There’s a possibility of a sizable difference between the early vote and today’s vote.

In 2024, for example, Republican Ted Cruz won the early vote by about 9.3 percentage points. He won Election Day by 5.2. His final margin of victory was 8.5. Given Democratic enthusiasm, some politicos are expecting the party to fare better in the early vote than Election Day. That lead could shrink as the votes from today roll in. But we won’t know for certain until the votes are tallied.