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2010: Medina Rises, Hutchison Falls

New poll numbers from Rasmussen show bad news for U.S. Sen. Kay Bailey Hutchison.

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New poll numbers from Rasmussen show bad news for U.S. Sen. Kay Bailey Hutchison and good news for Debra Medina in the GOP primary.

Here are the numbers: 44% for Gov. Rick Perry, 29% for Hutchison, 16% for Medina, and 11% undecided.

This means Perry has remained steady since the last Rasmussen poll, while Hutchison has dropped 4 points — which appear to have moved straight over to Team Medina. The race is still prone to a run-off, as no candidate has reached above 50 percent. More from Rasmussen:

Perry leads Hutchison by 18 points among conservative primary voters, and conservatives dominate Republican primaries in Texas and throughout the nation. Hutchison leads by 11 among moderate voters.

Turnout is often difficult to project for primaries. However, for Hutchison to win with the current attitudes, she would need more than 50% of the primary voters to be politically moderate.

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