Friends Like These

From the sidelines, a handful of state judges could shake up the elections for their colleagues on the field.

Judges on the state's two high courts are mired in bad news involving the death penalty, arson, tampering with evidence, and using campaign funds, illegally, for private travel. The jurists generating the headlines aren't on the ballot this year, but colleagues who are up for reelection could suffer just the same. Judicial races are down-ballot affairs and voters sometimes know more about the party they're for or the headlines they've seen than about the people whose names are on the ballot.

Voters will get a shot at six statewide judges in 2008. Only one, Court of Criminal Appeals Judge Paul Womack, has a primary opponent. Another, Judge Cathy Cochran of that same court, faces only a Libertarian opponent. The other four — Supreme Court Justices Wallace Jefferson, Dale Wainwright, and Phil Johnson, and Court of Criminal Appeals Judge Tom Price — will face Democratic opponents in November.

The common denominator is that they're all Republicans — it's like a private party over there. Fingers are crossing on the Democratic and Libertarian sides that voters will link the party with the recent messes. The GOP candidates are hoping this too shall pass.

Most voters don't pay attention to the judicial elections; they check a box for the party and not the person. Max Sherman, a former state senator, and dean of the LBJ School at the University of Texas, says that the general public doesn't have much reason to pay attention to these races, but those in the legal community certainly have their eyes and ears open. "They don't want to see the court under any cloud," Sherman says.

Here's what the GOP candidates have to worry about:

Last month, Supreme Court Justice David Medina and his wife were indicted (she for arson, he for tampering with evidence) in connection with a fire that destroyed their home in Spring. Harris County District Attorney Chuck Rosenthal said there isn't enough evidence and asked a court to dismiss the indictment.

Rosenthal has his own trouble. He hasn't been able to escape the media microscope after the discovery of e-mails — covering the trifecta of pornography, racism and politics — sent from his office computer. He's not resigning, but he won't be running for DA again.

Medina and two of his Supreme Court colleagues, Justices Paul Green and Nathan Hecht, have also been accused of using campaign money for personal travel. The San Antonio Express-News reported Medina reimbursed himself for travel with about $57,000 from his campaign. The judge told the paper his accountant gave him the green light on that one, and that he intends to pay the money back to the campaign.

Texas Watch, a self-appointed watchdog group, filed a complaint with the Ethics Commission saying Green used campaign contributions to pay for trips to and from his home in San Antonio. Hecht is dealing with an ongoing investigation of a similar nature. Texas Watch says Hecht spent almost $10,000 on travel between Austin and Dallas last year, and they've complained to the ethics regulators about it. Hecht said he was meeting with his supporters, according to the Express-News. He's not on the ballot until 2012.

Wainwright, the incumbent for Place 7 on the Supreme Court, is on the ballot this year. He says voters will reelect all three incumbents.

"I'm confident the people of Texas will understand we've done a good job, not perfect, but we've done a good job," says Wainwright. "There's going to be an attempt to sully the court as an institution... but I believe the people of this state will evaluate the facts, separate from suggestion and innuendo."

Johnson, Place 8, isn't sure how the public will react, but he doesn't think the bad news helps. "It's a civic duty to find out about the candidates and look at their individual qualifications," Johnson says. He says it's hard to get the public "fired up" for these elections and although he wants more public interest, he says, "I don't want the public to become interested only in the negative."

Others hope the public stays interested, like Susan Criss of Galveston, one of Johnson's Democratic opponents. "We've been campaigning on the need for change and when these stories are in the paper, it emphasizes that what we're saying is true," Criss says. She adds that while most people don't know the names of any judges before they vote, there has been enough bad press lately to make a change. "There's too much of it affecting too many of them," Criss says. "I think people will find a pattern," she adds. "We've been in Bush's Texas for too long and they've been bragging about it for years."

Jim Jordan is a Dallas Democrat running against Chief Justice Jefferson. "I think it's exposing the problems we have when we have a one party state," he says. "People don't want to have politics in the courtroom." Jordan says he thinks this could get more people interested in the election.

But even the courtroom can't escape politics if voters continue with party loyalties. Former Chief Justice Tom Phillips says "the judicial elections are almost a pure measure of party loyalty" and that it would be "an extremely unusual situation" for voters to turn their backs on their party.

Beaumont Libertarian Tom Oxford, running against Jefferson, says it's unfortunate that Medina, Green and Hecht aren't on the ballot. "It doesn't bode well for the Republican Party... it tries to present itself as the morality party, a position I've never bought." While Oxford admits a Libertarian doesn't have much chance in statewide race, he predicts some shifts in party loyalties from voters. "The public pays attention when a Supreme Court justice is accused of burning his house down for financial gain," he says [editor's note— Medina's house was uninsured, and there's no indication his home was burned down for financial reasons].

The problems aren't confined to the state's highest civil court. They started with its twin on the criminal side. Sharon Keller, chief judge of the Texas Court of Criminal Appeals, started that fire last September when she refused to accept an appeal minutes after her office closed. As a result, convicted murderer Michael Richard was executed that night.

Cochran, the incumbent for Place 9 on that appellate court, doesn't think Keller's decision will affect her campaign, but she says any negative media about other judges is a concern for the system. "Anytime any of us hit the press, we all get nervous." She says the public should still have faith in the judicial system — and that the media should focus on educating the public on the system as a whole, not "the scandal du jour."

— by Karie Meltzer

Perry Endorses McCain

A day after Rudy Giuliani dropped out of the race for the GOP presidential nomination, Gov. Rick Perry said he — like Giuliani — will support U.S. Sen. John McCain.

Perry admitted he doesn't agree with McCain on some issues, but said his first priority is fighting the war on terror and that McCain is the best candidate for that job.

"He and I may not agree on every issue," Perry said. "But we do agree that this country cannot flinch when it comes to the war against Islamic terrorists."

Perry held his announcement for a day so he wouldn't step on Giuliani's endorsement on Wednesday. That lands him in the story with California Gov. Arnold Schwarzenegger, who's also endorsing the Arizona senator.

Perry said his initial choice of Giuliani over McCain was a difficult one to make. He said he "truly enjoyed working with" the former New York City mayor. He said he's known McCain for some time and that "it was a pretty short step for me to get from where I was 90 days ago to where I am now."

The Perry-McCain political math is similar to the Perry-Giuliani version. The Texas governor is acceptable to and known to many of the social conservatives in the party. He's from the South (that was more help to Giuliani than to McCain) and a bunch of his financial backers are big players in federal politics. Perry was dearer, politically, to Giuliani: He was one of the early backers. The McCain bandwagon is more crowded, now that the GOP can fit all of its candidates into a sedan.

Perry took flak from some conservatives for endorsing Giuliani, whose positions on gun laws, abortion and other issues don't sit well with socially conservative Republicans. McCain, too, has been at odds with that part of the GOP.

Asked about it, Perry repeated his line about terrorism as the top issue, and said the rest of those candidate positions don't represent any change in his own views.

"I certainly haven't changed my conservative beliefs... I'm just as conservative as I was five years ago and as I will be in five years," he said. And he said he likes what McCain has been saying about trying to hold the line on federal spending if he's elected.

What does he say to Republicans who are worried about McCain's politics? "Two words," Perry said. "Hillary Clinton." Asked what a Clinton presidency would mean, he added: "To hell in a hand basket would probably not be a good quote, but that's what comes to mind."

He has no plans to campaign with McCain before Super Tuesday next week, but said the two will probably make a trip together to the Texas-Mexico border to talk about security and immigration.

In a half-hour press conference in his office, Perry also said he thinks the presidential races will probably be all but over by the time Texans vote in March. "I suspect that on Wednesday morning [the day after Super Tuesday], there's not going to be much of a field left."

He said Texas would have mattered more if disagreements over local officials and resign-to-run laws hadn't prevented the Legislature from moving the primary to Super Tuesday.

Perry said the state's economy is healthy. There are economic clouds elsewhere, but he said Texas is growing twice as fast as the national economy and said "most governors would dearly love to have the Texas economy in their own states." He'll support a proposed federal economic stimulus package that sends money directly to taxpayers, but disagrees with proposals to send some or all of that money through state governments. "Flowing the money through state bureaucracies is not the most efficient way to do that," he said.

He said his office deletes emails after a week, but keep the records that really matter. He warned against making the government "a repository of 'I gotcha' emails". And he said the Legislature isn't likely to change things: "I imagine you'll get that changed right after you get their records," he said.

Perry backed away from enhanced drivers' licenses he earlier supported. It turns out that federal IDs are available that cover the same concerns without costing the state any money. An aide said later that his office was leaning toward the federal papers.

A November Special

Kyle Janek, a Houston anesthesiologist first elected to the Legislature in 1994, plans to leave the Texas Senate this spring — two years before his term ends. He'll likely be replaced in a special election in November.

He initially planned to resign March 1, which would have made it possible to hold a special election May 10 to replace him. But he says he decided to make that last day a bit later in the spring so that the special will be in November. That way, voters won't get stuck with primaries in March, runoffs in April, a special election in May and a possible runoff in June. They'll just vote on the normal election day in November, with a possible December runoff. It also gives potential candidates more time to line up their ducks.

Janek, who served in the House from 1995 and was elected to the Senate in 2002, moved his family to Austin last year. Speculation about his resignation has dogged him since the end of the last legislative session.

Half the Senate is up for reelection this year, but Janek's not in that bunch. Whoever replaces him will have to run again in 2010, when his term expires. Janek himself won the seat in a special election in November 2002, after Sen. J.E. "Buster" Brown, R-Lake Jackson, resigned early.

This is no freebie in the political sense — House members can't run for that Senate seat without giving up their current positions (that's purely because of the timing; if the election was any day other than the November election when the House is also on the ballot, representatives would be able to run without risking their current seats). Rep. Charlie Howard, R-Sugar Land, already told the Houston Chronicle he's interested, as did former Harris County GOP Chairman Gary Polland. The only Democratic House member who lives in the district is Rep. Scott Hochberg, D-Houston.

The district includes parts of six counties: Brazoria, Chambers, Fort Bend, Galveston, Harris, and Jefferson. It was at one time a very solid Republican district, but that's less true than it used to be. Republicans in statewide elections usually win there, but by smaller margins than they get statewide. The Texas Weekly Index — our measure of how a district voted in the last two general elections — leans 15.4 percentage points in favor of the GOP: That was the margin for statewide Republicans over statewide Democrats in the last two cycles. But districts in that range have been competitive in legislative races for the last few years, and a well-funded and/or well-known Democrat could make the contest competitive. That party — a 20-11 minority in the Senate — is mounting serious challenges against two other Republican senators — Kim Brimer of Fort Worth and Mike Jackson of La Porte — in this year's general elections.

Janek initially tried to engineer things for a successor.

Last week, he began squiring a possible successor around the district, helping Spencer Tillman, an African-American Republican from Sugar Land, raise money and to lock down some support that might otherwise go to other candidates. By the end of last week, Janek said, the two had already raised $75,000 for Tillman's bid.

Tillman was a college football star at the University of Oklahoma who went on to play for the Houston Oilers and the San Francisco 49ers. He's now a sportscaster for CBS. But while Tillman lives in Sugar Land, he doesn't live in the district, so the outgoing incumbent might end up without a favorite in the race.

With his favorite out of the running and with local officials raising concerns about voter burnout, Janek decided to delay his retirement so that the election to replace him will be in November instead of May.

Janek tried to keep his announcement a secret until a press conference at the state Capitol, but told Senate colleagues in a conference call a day earlier. He swore them to silence; the news blazed threw the capital while that phone call was still underway. We'll quote Ben Franklin: "Three may keep a secret, if two of them are dead."

Puente Resigns

Rep. Robert Puente won't finish his current term. The San Antonio Democrat — chairman of the House Natural Resources Committee — wrote Gov. Rick Perry to officially say he'll leave office on February 1. That's this Friday.

Puente had already decided not to run for reelection, but his current term runs until the start of the legislative session in January 2009.

Democrat Roland Gutierrez is the only candidate on the November ballot. Puente says quitting now gives Gutierrez a chance to get a few months seniority over other incoming House members, which can come in handy later on.

Perry can call a special election in five weeks if he deems the vacancy in HD-119 an emergency. The next uniform election date — probably more likely, but there's no announcement yet — is on May 10.

Puente, an attorney, says he'll return to his practice and will remain in San Antonio. Still, that could include some lobbying or Austin work. He's a legislative leader on water issues, so don't be surprised if that turns out to be a specialty.

One more thing: Puente didn't close his campaign account, and says he wanted to keep it active in case a political opportunity arises in the future. If the right job opened up, he might be interested in returning to government.

Department of Handy Charts

 

Hit the Play Button

For the second time this week, the courts have rejected an effort to knock a legislative candidate off the ballot.

LaRhonda Torry, who filed in the Democratic primary against Rep. Garnet Coleman, D-Houston, hadn't filed her campaign treasurer papers when she filed for office. Your Texas Supreme Court says it doesn't matter, and put her back on the ballot.

Earlier this week, a Fort Worth appeals panel threw out a challenge to Democrat Wendy Davis, saying a group of firefighters doesn't have the legal standing to challenge her presence on the ballot against Sen. Kim Brimer, R-Fort Worth.

Harris County's Democrats took Torry's filing fee and her application on the last day to file, then disqualified her a few days later, saying she didn't have the treasurer's report and thus could have legally accepted the $750 she used to file. (This gets weirder: Torry got the filing money from a woman who came to the Party headquarters with her; officials watched her get $750 in cash from the other woman — apparently an illegal contribution — and pay her filing fee with it — apparently an illegal expenditure.) The court ruled the party doesn't have the right to turn her away for that reason, but acknowledged she was supposed to have filed a treasurer report and also said accepting and spending money without that report is a Class A misdemeanor. If she broke that law, the penalties are in the Penal Code and not in the state's Election Code.

She might have goofed, in other words, but not in a way that will keep her off the ballot.

Flotsam & Jetsam

The Senate's interim assignments are out. Lt. Gov. David Dewhurst released the 26-page list of pre-session assignments that can frame legislation on some of the big issues facing the state. Here's the list, in downloadable form. It's also available in the Files section. And so you have it, we've also got the list released by House Speaker Tom Craddick in three parts last year. Part 1 is here. Part 2 is here. And Part 3 is here.

• Texas Libertarians will convene in Fort Worth on June 13-15 to pick their candidates from 200 contenders. They don't hold primaries. They start with precinct conventions in March and work up to the state meet-up.

• The state's best-funded political action committee — that'd be the fund tied to the Texas Association of Realtors — endorsed 36 primary candidates for the state House and Senate. They exemplify the "friendly incumbent rule" — the Realtors went for incumbents in every office that had one, putting new names on the list only in open seats.

• The Texas Association of Business' PAC did its endorsements, sticking mostly with incumbents and Republicans. That group's list of endorsements for Congress, the Senate, and the Texas House includes five Democrats out of 71 races in which the group made an endorsement.

Larry Joe Doherty says he raised $151,115 during the fourth quarter of 2007 for his race against U.S. Rep. Michael McCaul, R-Austin. Doherty faces Dan Grant in the Democratic primary. Doherty reported cash on hand of $267,475 at year-end.

• U.S. Sen. John Cornyn raised $1.7 million during the fourth quarter and ended the year with $7.5 million in his campaign account.

• The Tejano Democrats endorsed Hillary Clinton, Rick Noriega and Art Hall, for president, U.S. senator and Texas Railroad Commissioner, respectively. That group's chairman is former state Sen. Gonzalo Barrientos, D-Austin.

• The folks with the Eddie Saenz campaign say their luck's not as bad as their opponent thinks. We got word from the other side that Saenz has to go to court before the primaries on a DWI charge. Not so: His hearing is on March 20. Saenz is challenging Rep. Aaron Peña, D-Edinburg, in HD-40.

• Rep. Thomas Latham, R-Mesquite, picked up an endorsement from former Rep. Elvira Reyna — the woman he defeated in 2006 to win his place in the House.

• Congressional candidate Chris Peden has a place on his website where browsers can endorse him, and apparently the editors don't watch a lot of TV. One of the endorsements — spotted by someone young that we know who apparently does watch too much TV — is from one Rusty Shackleford, a pest control manager in Galveston. That's a character on King of the Hill. For what it's worth, the guy on the website says he supports Peden, who's running against U.S. Rep. Ron Paul, R-Surfside, in CD-14.

Political People and Their Moves

Carl Mica, formerly an aide to U.S. Sen. Kay Bailey Hutchison, joins the University of Texas System as director of business relations. Mica was with Hutchison for 10 years, most recently as district director. He'll succeed John de la Garza Jr., who retired.

Amber Moon is leaving the Texas Democratic Party, where she's been director of communications for two years. That job goes to Hector Nieto, who's been the deputy until now. Moon is moving to Houston, still working for the Democrats.

Anita Givens is the new deputy associate commissioner for standards and alignment at the Texas Education Agency. That's a promotion; she's been with the agency for 17 years.

Gov. Rick Perry appointed:

• To the new Task Force on Higher Education Incentive Funding: Kern Wildenthal, president of the UT Southwestern Medical School in Dallas; Bernie Francis, owner and CEO of Business Control Systems in Carrollton; Woody Hunt, chairman and CEO of Hunt Building Corp. in El Paso; A.W. Riter, president of Riter Management Co. and a family foundation in of Tyler; and Robert Zárate of San Antonio, a retired public school educator. They'll join four others on a panel making recommendations on higher ed incentive funding to the next Legislature.

Hope Andrade of San Antonio to the middle seat at the Texas Transportation Commission. She's been on that panel; she'll replace the late Ric Williamson as chair, on an interim basis.

Ernie Morales of Devine as presiding officer of the Texas Animal Health Commission. He co-owns Morales feed lots. The Guv put some others on that board, including Randy Chris Brown, vice president of City Bank Texas in Lubbock; Dr. William Edmiston Jr. of Eldorado, a veterinarian and rancher; Ken Jordan, owner and operator of Jordan Cattle Auctions in San Saba; Mark Wheelis of Victoria, general ranch manager of D.H. Braman Jr. Ranches; Dick Winters Jr. of Brady, general partner and manager of Winters Livestock and Land; and Chuck Real of Marion, owner and operator of Real Hog Farms.

• Four new regents for the University of Houston System. The newbies: Nelda Blair, president and owner of the Blair Law Firm and chairman of the board of directors of The Woodlands Township; Jacob Monty, managing partner of Monty Partners LLP, a Houston law firm; Mica Mosbacher, a fundraiser and philanthropist; and Carroll Robertson Ray, an attorney with Andrews and Kurth.

Charles Crenshaw of Austin, Mark Smith of Dallas, and Doris Davis Washington of Arlington to the Texas Private Security Board. And he named John Chism of Irving to be that board's presiding officer. Chism is a private eye, Crenshaw and Smith both run alarm and security firms, and Washington is a Realtor.

James Earl Toups of League City to the Board of Pilot Commissioners for Galveston County. He's retired from Amoco Chemicals.

Kristin Benton of Austin, Sheri Crosby of Mesquite, Marilyn Davis of Sugar Land, Richard Gibbs of Mesquite, and Mary Jane Salgado of El Paso to the Texas Board of Nursing. Gibbs and Davis are nurses, and Benton teaches nursing at Austin Community College. Crosby is an attorney, and Salgado is a real estate agent and an economic developer of the Kickapoo Traditional Tribe of Texas.

Lt. Gov. David Dewhurst and House Speaker Tom Craddick named their joint appointees to the Select Committee on Public School Accountability. That list: Dalia Benavides, an elementary school principal from Midland; Susan Lewis, an elementary math teacher in San Antonio who's also active in the Texas Classroom Teachers Association; and David Splitek, superintendent at Lackland ISD.

Quotes of the Week

Comptroller Susan Combs, on the new business tax being collected for the first time this year: "There will be something unexpected. You always expect that."

Shane Sklar, a Democrat who lost a congressional race against Ron Paul, talking to the San Antonio Express-News about Paul's appeal as a presidential candidate: "There are people who felt they've never had a place in the political process and here's a chance for them, as they see it, to get behind something with meaning."

Former Texas Secretary of State Roger Williams, quoted in the Fort Worth Star-Telegram on the theory that Republicans might find their motivation to vote on the other side of the presidential ballot: "If we need Hillary Clinton to energize the party, we're in pretty bad shape."

Democratic U.S. Senate candidate Ray McMurrey, quoted by the Associated Press, defending a low-budget bid for statewide office by comparing himself with Victor Morales, who won a Democratic primary in 1996 with little money and a lot of free press coverage: "What I'm doing is not impossible. It has been done."

Rep. Aaron Peña, D-Edinburg, quoted in the McAllen Monitor after accepting contributions from Houston homebuilder Bob Perry, who's usually with the Republicans: "I'm in the middle of a war. If somebody wants to hand me a load of bullets, I'm not going to turn them down."

Sen. Kyle Janek, R-Houston, surrounded by his family while announcing he'll resign from the Senate in June: "I've had a great 13 years here at the Capitol. I showed up with no wife, no kids, no gray hair, no glasses and no hearing aid. Now, look at me."


Texas Weekly: Volume 25, Issue 5, 4 February 2008. Ross Ramsey, Editor. Copyright 2008 by Printing Production Systems, Inc. All Rights Reserved. Reproduction in whole or in part without written permission from the publisher is prohibited. One-year online subscription: $250. For information about your subscription, call (512) 302-5703 or email biz@texasweekly.com. For news, email ramsey@texasweekly.com, or call (512) 288-6598.

 

The Week in the Rearview Mirror

The bloom in voting around the country has Texas politicos wondering what'll happen to turnout here, both in the March primaries and in November. Four years ago, just over 1.5 million people voted in the Democratic and Republican primaries here — about 9.5 percent of the state's voting age population.We decided to go nuts with the historic numbers, to get an idea of previous turnouts and to get ready for March 4, when we'll find out just how jazzed people really are about these primaries. This first chart is all regular state elections from 1970 to now. The "shark's mouth" line covers general elections with presidential and gubernatorial candidates on board; more people vote in presidential years and that's why you get that sawtooth pattern. Democrats fell from the big turnouts of a one-party state to the lower turnouts that mark our present-day politics.

This one maps raw vote totals in presidential primary years. The state's population has grown, as has the general election vote total. And the parties over the years have reached rough parity, at least in turnouts. The total number of voters who show up for primary elections has declined in recent years, in spite of growth in the state's population.

Fewer Texans vote in gubernatorial election years, but the trends match, more or less, those of presidential election years.

Finally, we put the prexies and the goobers are on the same chart and filtered out population growth by ditching raw vote totals in favor of turnout as a percentage of voting age population. If this is a normal year — that is, if the soothsayers are wrong and turnouts do what they've always done — 40 to 50 percent of the state's voting age population will vote in November, the Democratic primary will draw 5 to 7 percent, and the GOP primary will draw 4 to 8 percent. A note: Republican primary turnouts in Texas were higher than normal in the last two cycles, as they had a Texas Republican on the ballot.

You can always find a candidate in Texas whose campaign blueprint is dependent on a rare or unprecedented event.

Sometimes it's a political shrimp who pays the filing fee like you'd pay for a lottery ticket, holding the fantasy in mind for a minute and hoping or wishing that getting on the ballot will get them a leather chair in the statehouse. Think of Victor Morales' first run for U.S. Senate, when he beat two congressmen and a prominent lawyer in a Democratic primary in 1996, or of Steve Mansfield, a Republican who unexpectedly knocked an incumbent Democrat off the Texas Court of Criminal Appeals in 1994.

Sometimes it's a big fish. Tony Sanchez Jr. ran for governor on the theory that a lot of people would show up to vote who had never voted before. And that they'd vote for him. And other Democrats on the statewide ticket (some of whom might have sold him on the idea in the first place).

But this year's unprecedented thing has some data behind it. The hyperactive presidential race remains unsettled — at least on the Democratic side of the ledger — and it's been bumping up turnouts in other states on its way here.

Think of it: All those Texans who give money to candidates on both sides of presidential elections actually lived to see some of that money get spent in their home state.

The Texas primaries are on March 4. Early voting starts just more than a week from now — on February 19. And national candidates are starting to do something they haven't done in Texas in years and years. They're campaigning, spending money on ads, and trying to gin up excitement and support.

The updraft will probably affect Texas candidates. They and their consultants and friends are trying to figure out what to do, who's at risk, and who's about to win the electoral lottery.

• Republicans either lucked out or not. Lookit: Incumbents running for reelection are already nervous about what might be an electorate looking for change. A presidential candidate pushing that message brings more people to the polls, supposedly in search of fresh faces, new candidates. Without a GOP primary to speak of, turnout might be normal: Good for incumbents, bad for challengers.

Local mileage can vary, however. Those incumbents still have to work on whatever made them nervous in the first place. State lawmakers who were on the watch list two weeks ago — when most people thought Super Tuesday would settle this round of the national debate — are still on the watch list today.

• Democrats have a different take on this. Say you're in a district where voter turnouts are generally low. Rep. Kevin Bailey, D-Houston, is an example. He got 70 percent of the vote in the 2006 Democratic primary, but only won by 517 votes in a district where 1,295 people bothered to show up for the primary. Compare that to, say, Norma Chavez, D-El Paso. She got 70 percent, too. And her raw vote margin was 3,910 votes of 9,724 cast. A relatively small number of new voters could change the outcome in Bailey's district. It could save him if the new voters don't like his challenger this time. It could kill him if they're out for change. It could change the demographics of the vote. Bailey, an Anglo representing a minority district, is being challenged by a Latino, Armando Lucio Walle. Bailey can win with a standard turnout, but who benefits from a higher one? It depends on what the new voters want in a candidate.

Consultants we talked to generalize in two different directions. In some races, incumbents have been winning with static turnouts and new voters represent the danger of change. At best, they don't know the incumbents and owe them no allegiance. There's a flip to that. Say U.S. Sen. Hillary Clinton comes to the state looking for votes and hires people in your area who have also worked for you in the past. A candidate in that situation can piggyback on the well-funded presidential campaign, leveraging get-out-the-vote and voter contact efforts. Rep. Doro Olivo, D-Rosenberg, has a tough reelection race against Ron Reynolds of Missouri City. She's Hispanic, and he's African-American. We've heard the argument that Barack Obama's presence on the ticket will help Black candidates. But Olivo's name was one of seven "leading Texas Democrats" named in Obama's announcement of grass-roots support in Texas.

If you're building a watch-list for the primaries — a basis for those post-primary autopsies — put Bailey and Olivo on it, and all the other Democratic primaries you can find. It's hell on the candidates, but it'll be good material for the political science nerds after this is over.

• Another theory holds that busy party primaries hurt moderate candidates. Reps. Pat Haggerty, R-El Paso, and Charlie Geren, R-Fort Worth, might get votes from independents in their primaries but for the attraction of the Democratic presidential fight. If they're dependent on those independents for victory — that remains to be demonstrated — the active primary could hurt them.

• And the consultants. Republican consultants are getting cheated, relatively speaking. If you look at election turnouts over the last 30 years in Texas, you see fewer and fewer people voting in primaries, relative to the number of voting age people in the state (last year, the Voting Age Population, or VAP, was 16.6 million; 1.2 million of them voted in the primaries).

So the lists of regular Republicans and regular Democrats are pretty well worked. Suppose you could get an election that boosted the pool of voters. Take the full list of names, delete those on the old list, and you've got a lot of fresh leads for the next election cycle. That's the election cycle, by the way, that picks the legislators who'll redraw legislative and congressional political maps in 2011. Democrats, assuming they get a big turnout next month, will get lots of new leads. Republicans, without a fight to draw a crowd, won't.

Unlike the rest of this, those lists don't come available just where there are hot local races. The presidential draw to the polls — if it turns out to do here what it's done elsewhere — is statewide. New voters could be showing up in parts of Texas where the local races aren't even interesting.

Fort Worth's Jim Wright — former Speaker of the U.S. House and one of the state's "super delegates" to the Democratic National Convention — endorsed Hillary Clinton for president. That announcement came as the results from Super Tuesday were rolling in, making it apparent that the Democratic side of the presidential race is probably coming all the way to Texas in March.

• Now that the Republican nomination is all but locked up for U.S. Sen. John McCain, he's won the endorsement of U.S. Sen. John Cornyn, R-San Antonio. Cornyn said in his announcement that he didn't want to get involved in the primaries while they were still competitive. Now, though, he wants the GOP to settle in behind one candidate.

• It looks like the presidential candidates will have a Texas debate — probably at the end of the month — as they campaign for big seams of votes here and in Ohio that come available on March 4. That's one of two — the other's in Ohio — that Barack Obama has agreed to before the primaries here. Clinton's pushing for one a week.

• Former Rep. Ron Wilson loaned $30,000 to LaRhonda Torry, the Democrat challenging Rep. Garnet Coleman, D-Houston. There's an old fight there; Coleman helped Rep. Alma Allen defeat Wilson in 2004. Two other notes: Former Judge Morris Overstreet contributed to Torry; and Torry's 30-day report didn't list a treasurer — an issue Coleman tried to use last month to knock her off the ballot.

• The gambling pot hasn't spilled, at least as of the last report. Texans for Economic Development PAC, funded by gaming interests around the state, has more than $1 million to spend but spent only $15,000 in January, according to their report. That money went to Rep. Kino Flores, D-Palmview.

• House Speaker Tom Craddick's contribution to a political action committee helping three friendly Democrats is the only reported money that's gone from him to a particular race. Reps. Flores, Kevin Bailey, and Aaron Peña got $50,000 each from Texas Jobs & Opportunity Build a Secure Future Inc. PAC, and Craddick, giving $250,000, was that fund's biggest funder. Another Craddick beneficiary — $85,000 worth — was the Stars Over Texas PAC, which hasn't given to candidates yet but has paid Dave Carney's Norway Hill Associates $122,500 for consulting and research.

• State Rep. Rafael Anchia, D-Dallas, endorsed Obama in the Democratic primary with this line: "I don't buy the argument that Latinos will not vote for an African-American candidate for president." Anchia says Texas Hispanics will identify with Obama's story.

• Former Texas Education Commissioner Mike Moses endorsed Jonathan Sibley, a Republican challenging Rep. Charles "Doc" Anderson, R-Waco. Sibley's been banging on the incumbent for voting for legislation allowing private school vouchers in 2005.

Brian Thompson, an Anglo running against Rep. Dawnna Dukes, D-Austin, in a district that has traditionally been represented by African-American legislators, says he'll vote for Rep. Senfronia Thompson, D-Houston, for speaker if he's elected to the House.

• Former Sugar Land Mayor Dean Hrbacek — now one of 10 Republican candidates for Congress in CD-22 — made it onto Paul Harvey's national radio broadcast. And he's probably glad they refered to him only by title and current pursuit, and not by his name. Harvey closed a recent broadcast with this bit: "This politician is not just an empty suit. He has mailed campaign literature to area voters. However, the full-length photo of himself has been doctored a little. Includes a better-looking somebody else's body."

A Georgia doctor sued by a Fort Worth optometrist says the terms of the settlement were different than what got described to us. And he says the original demand for libel damages from a chat-room posting — stated in a letter from a lawyer who's also a legislative honcho — was for $1 million.

Tom Annunziato sued Dr. Richard Schulze Jr. and two others for libel for comments they posted on a private Internet chat room after seeing a picture of Annunziato — who's not a medical doctor — in surgical garb (see our original story on the lawsuits).

The first filings in those suits — Annunziato's lawyer was Rep. Phil King, R-Weatherford — asked for $75,000 in damages from each doctor. And both Annunziato and King told us the doctors settled the suits by paying King's fees and apologizing for their remarks. Schulze says in a letter to us that the initial demands were higher than that, the settlements lower. He also raises some questions about where the case was tried (though his lawyer said in our earlier story that the judge they got was fair).

Schulze's letter:

I read with interest the recent article describing the controversy regarding Mr. Annunziato's place of residence when filing a lawsuit against three physicians. As one of the physicians who was sued, I would like to correct the record with regard to certain statements made by Mr. Annunziato and his plaintiff's attorney, Phil King, Esq.

Mr. Annunziato's original demand from me was for one million dollars (yes, $1,000,000.00). I was told by my attorneys that such a large demand would have required that the suit be heard by a federal court. The demand was subsequently reduced to $75 thousand dollars in order to make the suit eligible for local jurisdiction. Therefore, the issue of residence and jurisdiction was indeed important to the case.

I did not write a letter of apology to the plaintiff, nor was I required to be the court. I did not pay any settlement damages to the plaintiff, nor was I required to by the court. I did not pay any of Mr. Annunziato's legal fees, nor was I required to by the court.

In fact, the judge presiding in the matter dismissed Mr. Annunziato's lawsuit as a "non-suit."

I was advised by my attorneys to file a countersuit against Mr. Annunziato and Mr. King for frivolous litigation, but I have better things to do with my time. Your readers can judge for themselves by the amount of damages I paid (zero, zilch, nada) how damaging my comments were to Mr. Annunziato.

Sincerely,

Richard Schulze Jr., M.D.

Here's a copy of King's original demand letter, followed by the last filing in the court case (both supplied by Schulze):

This week, bloggers are buzzing about who's endorsing who in various political contests. They're also talking about the resignation of a Houston state senator, problems with the law and everyone's favorite presidential candidate from Lake Jackson. And then there are some miscellaneous posts about emoting.

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I've Got You, Babe

Austin Political Report sums up Gov. Rick Perry's track record for Presidential endorsements. PoliTex, the Fort Worth Star-Telegram's blog, tackles Perry's history here. Meanwhile, Trail Blazers, the Dallas Morning News' blog, gives readers a glimpse into the press conference where Perry announces he's backing John McCain. According to Postcards, the Austin American Statesman's blog, it's all about the War on Terra. Texas Blue has audio, and so does Texas Politics, the Houston Chronicle's blog.

PoliTex manages to use the term "dog-and-pony show" in its take on the topic, a "snarky Austin political operative" has her wish granted when PoliTex creates this amusing chart, and musings wins Headline of the Week Award for a contribution titled "McCain's Campaign Doomed By Endorsement."

It's all about politics when Perry remains on the fence about the border wall, says Trail Blazers, but the Guv stands by his comments about Bush not being a fiscal conservative, and he doesn't think much of New York neither. Or Arnold Schwarzenegger, says Chronic, the Austin Chronicle's blog.

Is Perry really stumping for himself for President? wonders Trail Blazers. And is former U.S. Sen. Phil Gramm angling for the position of treasury secretary in a McCain cabinet? speculates PoliTex, which also reminds readers that Gramm's Georgia accent may be cool and all, but it ain't no Texas twang.

The latest round of IVR polling has McCain and Mitt Romney neck-and-neck in Texas, say Professors-R-Squared. (Oh, and Hillary Clinton leads Barack Obama by 10 points.) Texas Politics has the full text from IVR here. Texas Hispanic lawmakers, plus U.S. Rep. Gene Green, D-Houston, are supporting Clinton, says Trail Blazers. Also, they're endorsing Rick Noriega for U.S. Senate and Art Hall for Texas Railroad Commission, adds Postcards. (Here's a list of more endorsements for Noriega from Burnt Orange.) Meanwhile, state Rep. Garnet Coleman, D-Houston, bucks the Clinton bandwagon in favor of Obama.

Meanwhile, PoliTex wonders why Hall is campaigning partly on "railroad safety" for a post that has nothing to do with railroads. (Perhaps Hall is taking a cue from former railroad commissioner John Sharp...). Burnt Orange takes a shot at Hall for his connections to Valero, and here's PoliTex's exposé of "another misinformed" candidate Mark Thompson.

In this Postcards entry, Sen. Kirk Watson, D-Austin, remains coy after his man Edwards withdraws from the race, but does say he thinks that the Democratic nominee could take Texas in November. In the same post, pastor Rick Scarborough trashes Romney and McCain in favor of Huckabee. And Jerry Patterson's staying out of the endorsement game... for now, says PoliTex.

PoliTex has a report card on lawmakers by conservative group Americans for Prosperity.

Rep. Aaron Peña, D-Edinburg, racks up endorsements from teachers, dentists, realtors and more teachers, while Amy L'Etoile garners Capitol Crowd's endorsement as Person of the Week.

When their powers combine, the University Democrats at UT-Austin and Central Austin Democrats form the Austin Progressive Coalition, with control of over 15,000 yellow doorhangers listing candidate endorsements. Burnt Orange is impressed.

Annex discovers a group called the Greater Harris County Democrats and smells something fishy after taking a look at their endorsements. Half-Empty hearts HD-27 Democrat Ron Reynolds, and People for Efficient Transportation PAC is backing Brian Thompson in HD-46, says muckraker.

Texas Kaos relays endorsements by the Austin Lesbian/Gay Political Caucus and the Austin Stonewall Democrats. Meanwhile, the Young Conservatives of Texas are backing Quico Canseco in CD-23, according to memoirs from a young conservative.

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Kyle's Field

Professors has a three-parter on the retirement of state Sen. Kyle Janek, R-Houston, here, here and here. Their latest word is that Janek's people are trying to "scrounge up a real challenger to [Gary] Polland," who they say is being supported by state Sen. Dan Patrick, R-Houston, and Harris County Tax Assessor-Collector Paul Bettencourt.

Says BurkaBlog: Janek's handpicked successor Spencer Tillman doesn't live in SD-17 (also in last week's TW, here). "This raises the dreadful prospect of District [17] being represented by Charlie Howard or Gary Polland, both of whom make Dan Patrick look like Thomas Jefferson... The Democrats could field Scott Hochberg... Hey Kyle, you might think about staying around a while. If you try to lobby after letting Howard or Polland in the Senate, your former colleagues will never throw you a vote."

The take from KVUE's Political Junkie: "I sure will miss Senator Janek's keen sense of style. I always found him to be an excellent dresser. His ties aren't as awesome as Senator Steve Ogden's, but they are generally pretty awesome." (Half-Empty's thoughts here.)

From Mike Falick's Blog: "Senator Janek and his staff have always been responsive, and in the last session, he authored and lead the charge to get Senate Bill 8 (the Steroid bill) passed. He has also been a champion of limitations on eminent domain and securing personal property rights."

Democrats feel they could have a shot in SD-17, says PoliTex. "Just sayin'" is Greg's Opinion. And Off the Kuff takes a look at past voting numbers here, while Chronic gives a quickie analysis of Janek's past and present and the future of SD-17.

Eye on Williamson says "the Texas GOP is often time now breaking up into [its] moderate and wing-nut branches in selecting candidates... " and that the jockeying in SD-17 could portend the 2010 GOP primary for governor.

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Texas Justice

Houston's Clear Thinkers believes that condemnation of Harris County D.A. Chuck Rosenthal has gotten out of hand, and predicts Rosenthal will dodge allegations of criminal contempt. Speaking of condemnation, here's some from Defending People: The Art and Science of Criminal Defense Trial Lawyering. Meanwhile, Life at the Harris County Criminal Justice Center tells lawyer Lloyd Kelley to quit with the "babe-in-the-woods" act, then proceeds to list the reasons why.

In another post, the anonymous blogger laments that Rosenthal shot down Assistant D.A. Kelly Siegler's idea to hire a media relations person for the D.A.'s office. And Tex Parte Blog has two items on Rosenthal's contempt hearing, one and two, and there are two more from KTRK's Houston Political Blog, three and four.

BurkaBlog slams the Texas Supremes in this post, which begins, "The Texas Supreme Court has become a public spectacle. It's bad enough that a majority of the Court performs as a wholly owned subsidiary of Texans for Lawsuit Reform... " and only gets worse from there.

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Run Paul, Run

Why does GOP Presidential candidate Ron Paul look so happy? Maybe, muses PoliTex, it's his gajillions in cash, or maybe it's because he's visiting Victoria, Texas. (How could anyone not be ecstatic over that? Redneck Mother, for one, got such a kick out of the area that it merited three posts, here, here and here.) Also from PoliTex, thoughts on if Paul will drop out after Super Tuesday, and if the Texas Presidential primary will be meaningful, or not. And this third Paul post from PoliTex, concerning the possibility of a brokered GOP convention.

In other news, Paul has filed a bill that would prevent federal funds from going to the Trans-Texas Corridor, a move sure to place him in muckraker's good graces. And on the home front, the county seat reports that Paul's CD-14 GOP opponent Chris Peden raised nearly $175,000 for his campaign — $144,000 of which came from the candidate himself.

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Hooked on Some Feelings

Annex is angry with Texas Supreme Court candidate Linda Yañez for not bestowing on bloggers the respect, admiration and homage they so rightfully deserve. An excerpt: "we base what we do in fact and upon hard evidence."

Political consultant Colin Strother arouses mixed emotions from Democratic insiders, says Chronic, and engages in a heated correspondence with Political Junkie over a Craigslist posting. McBlogger is amused by the whole thing.

Curious how things work? Has Mike Falick got a site for you! Pink Dome had a Pink Lady moment (and no it doesn't have anything to do with blending cabernet, merlot and syrah). Meanwhile, Vaqueros & Wonkeros has a video of a lobbyist and a candidate that's got El Paso politicos feeling chatty.

Ever had déjà vu? You will, after this post by Political Junkie.

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This edition of Out There was compiled and written by Patrick Brendel, who hails from Victoria but is spending the spring in the mid-Atlantic region. We cherry-pick the state's political blogs each week, looking for news, info, gossip, and new jokes. The opinions here belong (mostly) to the bloggers, and we're including their links so you can hunt them down if you wish. Our blogroll — the list of Texas blogs we watch — is on our links page, and if you know of a Texas political blog that ought to be on it, just shoot us a note. Please send comments, suggestions, gripes or retorts to Texas Weekly editor Ross Ramsey.

Texas government road builders put off $1.1 billion in projects. Where? Here's the list.Trying to save $1.1 billion, at least for a while, the Texas Department of Transportation put 54 projects in 28 counties on ice until the next fiscal year. They range in size from $346,000 to $181 million, and none of them will get going until September at the earliest. You can download the list here, and check our (very recent) archives for more info here and here.

Political People and their Moves

Rep. Mike "Tuffy" Hamilton, R-Mauriceville, will chair the House Natural Resources Committee, taking over for Robert Puente, D-San Antonio. Puente resigned; Hamilton was vice chairman.

House Speaker Tom Craddick also named Frank Corte, R-San Antonio, to the Bexar Metropolitan Water District Oversight Committee. That was another Puente post.

Sen. Kim Brimer, R-Fort Worth, will chair the Senate's Select Committee on Economic Development, which will do interim reviews of the state's eco devo programs. Brimer's up for reelection this year; he was named to head the panel by Lt. Gov. David Dewhurst.

Former state Rep. Paul Sadler, D-Henderson, is the new executive director of the Wind Coalition, a trade group of wind power producers and wind energy promoters. Sadler left the Texas House in 2003, after 12 years there.

John Pritchett is the new political director for Attorney General Greg Abbott's campaign. He was most recently at Austin-based Public Strategies Inc. and before that for Olson & Shuvalov, a political consulting firm. And he's worked on a mess of campaigns.

Stephen Bonner is leaving his state lobbying gig with Texas Instruments for a job with that same company heading public affairs in Europe, the Middle East, and Africa. Bonner, who was once a staffer working in the basement of the Pink Building, will be based in Brussels. Gray Mayes will take over his duties at TI.

Christine DeLoma is ditching her press pass to become the Texas Cable Association's new director of communications. She's been at the Lone Star Report for three years.

ONEOK has a new Texas lobbyist; Grant Ruckel is joing that company after five years as a Texas House staffer. He'll replace Rick Grundman, who moved into a different post with ONEOK's Texas Gas Service.

Deaths: Louie Welch, a five-term former mayor of Houston, from lung cancer. He was 89... Former Rep. Ralph Ray Wallace III, who left the Texas House in 1992 after 15 years in office, of unknown causes. He was 58.

Quotes of the Week

Buzbee, Coleman, Marquez, Dewhurst, and Averitt

Attorney Tony Buzbee, quoted in The (Galveston County) Daily News about taking U.S. District Judge Samuel Kent to lunch after appearing before him in a hearing on the British Petroleum case: "As long as judges and lawyers aren't discussing court business, there's nothing wrong with it. If there is something wrong with it, you might as well indict every lawyer and every judge on this island."

Rep. Garnet Coleman, quoted in a Houston Chronicle story about Rep. Borris Miles, a fellow Houston Democrat: "He has a certain energy that bursts out at times. You can deal with it through anger management, through lessening the amount of alcohol you take."

Marisa Marquez, a Democrat challenging Rep. Paul Moreno, D-El Paso, telling the El Paso Times she's not aligned with House Speaker Tom Craddick and won't vote for his reelection: "As far as I'm concerned, no for Craddick."

Lt. Gov. David Dewhurst, talking to a business group about state finances and the outlook for the state's main business levy — the new business margins tax: "We have no idea what this new tax is going to produce."

Sen. Kip Averitt, R-Waco, at a hearing where state transportation officials said they were $1.1 billion short because of an accounting error: " "You've got to be kidding."