FiveThirtyEight Projects A Win for Rick Perry
In the 2010 race for governor of Texas, forecasters put the chances of a Republican victory at 83.5 percent.
FiveThirtyEight, the polling analysis website recently acquired by The New York Times, unveiled its gubernatorial forecasts on Friday. They currently project incumbent Republican Gov. Rick Perry to defeat Democratic challenger Bill White with 52 percent of the vote to White's 45 percent.
The odds of Texas having a Republican governor in 2011 aren't as high as states like Arizona, Nevada, Kansas and others that are edging a 100 percent chance of Republican victory. The most comparable states are ...
Comments (20)
Melody Simon via Texas Tribune on Facebook
Two words: term limits
Rebecca Raphael via Texas Tribune on Facebook
And this is also the year the Saints won the Superbowl.
Jimmy Alan Hall via Texas Tribune on Facebook
Stinky.
Henry Weber via Texas Tribune on Facebook
OMG I actually agree with you Melody. Term limits for all government positions.
Viviana Rodriguez via Texas Tribune on Facebook
I don't know who these people are polling, because everyone I talk to is voteing the other way. Now we just have to get out and VOTE!
Donald Dickson
That photograph just cries out for a caption contest.
Diane Holloway via Texas Tribune on Facebook
These polls under-represent Democratic voters in Texas. They just do.
Donald Dickson via Texas Tribune on Facebook
This photo cries out for a caption contest.
James Henson
A little perspective on the 538 boomlet: http://www.pollster.com/blogs/rivers_random_samples_and_rese.php
Dave MacDonald via Texas Tribune on Facebook
They must be only polling their own staff members. If we can get out the Dem vote, he is retired.
Jonathan Gal via Texas Tribune on Facebook
Go Governor White!
Jonathan Gal via Texas Tribune on Facebook
Notice the "Heil Hitler" by Rick Perry in the photo!
Jonathan Gal via Texas Tribune on Facebook
Down With King Richard!
Henry Weber via Texas Tribune on Facebook
voter fraud is always an option for you if you don't like the way the votes are going. I'm sure you'll come up with some way to win.
Dorothy Gill Wilson via Texas Tribune on Facebook
While I truly hope White wins I also know that Perry will do his best to scare the marginally 'with-it' senior citizens into piling into a bus and taking a day trip from the retirement homes just to vote for him. He will probably pay for the charter buses.
Mark D. Hayward via Texas Tribune on Facebook
Terms limits WITH a law that probibits them coming back as lobbyists!!! California has term limits without that little provision. Hence, nothing changed.
Gary Packwood via Texas Tribune on Facebook
Good point Mark D. Hayward. Never thought about the lobbyist factor. You are so right.
homas
I'm constantly amazed at the Texas popularity of Republicans. Texas is probably now 50th in human services' funding. Republicans and their allies in the tea party are going to destroy Social Security and Medicare. Texas Republicans will legislate some type of Arizona type "Papers Please" law. Texas state workers are underpaid and understaffed.
Is it that people agree with all this or are just uninformed?
Dan Westemeier
Sigh... who are "they" polling? I am generally against term limits. But my thinking was the people's vote are term limits. But with soooo much $$ buying air time and other areas of influence it's not even or fair. Also the HUGE number of people just who don't vote are changing my mind. Perhaps term limits are an answer because it seems our elected officials are bought not voted for anymore.
Rudy Gonzales
Here's my take:
America got into this fix during the Bush presidency after the Republicans rammed through relaxation of rules and regulation that allowed Banks to gamble with taxpayer monies.
It was during the Bush era that the housing bubble burst resulting from greedy mortgage bankers and Wall Street instigators.
President Obama cannot hire us out of this economy. Congress can.
It took eight years of Bush to get into this quagmire we're in and President Obama can't fix it overnight.
The Auto industry shot themselves in the foot by thinking they were invincible and couldn't lose.
It's the Congress who control the purse strings, not the president. It's the Congress who make and pass the laws of the land, not the president.
President Obama didn't start these wars he inherited them. He won the presidency telling US he would get us out as soon as he could.
Remember, President Obama didn't fire employees, the giant corporations did. President Obama didn't off-shore the manufacturing jobs to China or Mexico.
President Obama didn't lower the wages of employees and cut their medical benefits.
President Obama didn't didn't bust the unions or kill job creating programs.
President Obama didn't rake in millions in compensation while the lower echelon employees were fired, terminated or laid off.
The award for complete tone deaf obliviousness would have to go to Blackstone cofounder Stephen Schwarzman, who earlier this summer compared government attempts to raise taxes on financiers such as himself to Hitler’s invasion of Poland.
American workers are taking home less in real weekly wages than they did in the 1970s. So much for the idea that the financial crisis would somehow even things up by wiping out a good chunk of the paper wealth of the plutocrats.
The CEOs of the 50 firms that laid off the most workers since the onset of the economic crisis took home 42 percent more pay in 2009 than their peers did—largely because cutting workers boosts short-term profits and appeals to Wall Street.
What’s striking is that the executives who are the most willing to ax workers also seem to be the least likely to tighten their own belts.
U.S. corporate boards are full of very rich people who have no incentive to complain about each others’ pay. That’s why politicians might consider getting rid of tax rules that let companies write off unlimited amounts of corporate compensation.
The right-winged radical talking heads on FOX continue to spew their rhetoric to sway the masses, easily intimidated and gullible. They have proven "If you say it often enough it will be believed no matter what is said or who said it. Their rhetoric includes: Constitutionality, conservativeness, Immigration, Taxes and covert logic.
Vote
Out
The
Party
Of "NO"