Texas politicos aren’t asking whether El Paso state Sen. Eliot Shapleigh is planning a campaign for statewide office. They’re asking which office he’s eyeing. But perhaps the better question is, does it even matter?

Shapleigh said last month he would not run for reelection to the Texas Senate. He hasn’t revealed his statewide ambitions, but his public and private remarks leave little doubt the longtime El Paso legislator is seriously considering a gubernatorial bid.

Yet even Shapleigh’s friends and fellow Democrats agree that effort would be a long, long shot. “If he were to run ...

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