You know the drill: We lifted the color scheme from the inventors of the federal terror watch, ranking districts by the threat to each incumbent, to the incumbent party, or just by the level of interest in and heat generated by a particular race, then assigning each group a garish color.
Yellow means there's trouble on the sidewalk.
Orange is trouble on the front porch.
Red is trouble walking in the door.
Open seats are rated by the apparent margin between top candidates (closer is hotter).
Incumbents are indicated with this: (i). A printable version is attached as a .pdf file.
This is certainly and intentionally subject to argument, and we'll revise and adjust each week, based on interviews, our reporting and your feedback through the May 29 primary. Let us know what you think.
Changes this week: We downgraded races in HD-83, HD-133, and HD-146 (two notches);added the Allen/Adams in HD-131, and raised the heat levels in SD-30, HD-11, HD-98, HD-92, and in both primaries in HD-144.