Is the Texas Governor's Race as Close as It Looks?
The new University of Texas/Texas Tribune poll shows Rick Perry with a 6-point lead over Bill White, 39 percent to 33 percent. Make no mistake: a Democrat running in a statewide race in Texas who is not losing by double-digits is doing relatively well. But this raises the larger question: Can Bill White actually win?
While the data from the survey provide some support for both sides of the argument, it remains extremely difficult to see how White makes up his deficit (remember, early voting starts in about five weeks). But let us review the main points, pro and ...
Comments (3)
ThaddeusScott
"Finally, remember that Perry doesn’t have to get the expected vote to win. He only needs 50 percent."
While the point is still valid that Perry doesn't need to reach the "expected vote" to win, the statement that he needs 50% is wrong. He can win with a simple plurality, as he did in 2006, when he garnered only 39% of the vote.
Daron Shaw
The 50% reference was to the two-party vote.
ThaddeusScott
Ok, that makes much more sense. My mistake...